Check out our free Thunder vs Timberwolves pick and preview for this NBA game in Minneapolis. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Thunder vs Timberwolves NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves
- Where: Minneapolis at Target Center
- Date: Saturday, December 3rd
- Betting Odds MIN -5.5, OKC +182 | MIN -226 O/U 232.5
The Thunder come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 9-13. So far, the team has gone 13-9-0 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
The Thunder will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Spurs by a score of 119-111. Heading into the game, they were 3 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Oklahoma City put together a strong second half performance, as after 2 quarters, they trailed the Spurs by -17 points. Leading the team in scoring was Jalen Williams, as he contributed 27 points while hitting 73.3% of his shots.
The Timberwolves come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 11-11. So far, the team has gone 8-14-0 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Minnesota has an overall record of 1-2, including going 1-2 against the spread.
Minnesota is going for yet another win, as they previously defeated the Grizzlies at home. With the 109-101 victory, they also covered the spread as 3 point underdogs. Although Minnesota trailed the Grizzlies going into halftime, by the end of the 3rd quarter they had taken the lead. Leading the team in scoring was Anthony Edwards, as he contributed 29 points while hitting 55.6% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Thunder averaged 99.5 points per game vs the Timberwolves. On the other side, Minnesota saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Thunder, as they averaged 125.75 points per game in these matchups. The Timberwolves have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 23 points per game. A combined average of 231 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Thunder come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 116.0 points per game (7th). Coming into today’s game, the Thunder will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.5 made 3’s per game. Oklahoma City appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are they a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
Against the Timberwolves, the Thunder will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 15th in points allowed.
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team in scoring at 31.05 points per game while Dort is 2nd at 14.14. For the season, Gilgeous-Alexander is 10th in the NBA in usage rate and 13th in player efficiency. Behind him, Dort has taken 12.8% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 41.0%.
The Minnesota offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 12th ranked offense at 114.4 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.1 made 3’s per game. If the Minnesota offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 15.9 turnovers per game.
Defensively, Minnesota has had its problems giving up an average of 113.3 points per game (24th).
A key injury to note in this game is the absence of the Timberwolves 2nd leading scorer, Karl-Anthony Towns. In his 21 games, Towns is averaging 20.76 points per game while dishing out 5.29 assists and grabbing 8.19 rebounds. In his absence, the team will be looking for even more production out of Anthony Edwards, who leads the team and is 26th in the NBA at 22.86 points per contest. For the season, he has connected on 46.2% of his field goal attempts while taking 20.5% of the team’s shots from the floor.
Thunder vs Timberwolves Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Thunder +5.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 232.5
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