Check out our free Thunder vs Trail Blazers pick and preview for this NBA game in Portland. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Thunder vs Trail Blazers NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
- Where: Portland at Moda Center
- Date: Sunday, March 26th
- Betting Odds POR +8, OKC -318 | POR +253 O/U OFF
The Thunder come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 36-38. So far, the team has gone 44-29-1 against the spread. Today, the Thunder will be looking to snap a 2 game losing streak. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of -13.5 points.
Oklahoma City is trying to bounce back from a 116-111 loss to the Lakers. Going into this game, the team was 3 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Oklahoma City was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Lakers by 5 going into halftime. In the loss, Josh Giddey led the team in scoring with 27 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.
The Trail Blazers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 32-41. So far, the team has gone 35-38-0 against the spread. Looking back on Trail Blazers’ previous 3 games, they have a record of 1-2 while averaging 108 points per game. Over this stretch, their ATS mark is 1-2.
Not only did the Trail Blazers drop their last game to the Bulls. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 124-96 as 7 point underdogs. Portland struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip home at a 16 point halftime deficit. In the loss, Shaedon Sharpe led the team in scoring with 24 points on a field goal percentage of 45.0%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Thunder picked up the win 123-121 win over the Trail Blazers. Heading into the game, Oklahoma City was the 4.5 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Thunder have a record of 3-0 vs the Trail Blazers. Similar to their season-long average, the Thunder averaged 106.5 points per game vs the Trail Blazers. While the Thunder were able to maintain their usual level of production against Portland, the Trail Blazers averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 99.75. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Thunder have an average scoring margin of +4 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 5-0. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 232 points in these games.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Oklahoma City offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 5th ranked offense at 117.4 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Thunder will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.3 made 3’s per game. Oklahoma City appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are they a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
On defense, the Thunder will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 15th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
On offense, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder in scoring at 31.3 points per game, placing him 4th in the NBA. Overall, Gilgeous-Alexander has hit 51.0% of his shots while accounting for 22.0% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 8th in points allowed to point-guards. At 16.3 points per game, Josh Giddey is the 2nd leading scorer for the Thunder. For the season, he is 102nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 48.5%.
For the season, the Trail Blazers offensive unit is ranked just 16th in scoring at 114.2 points per contest. The Trail Blazers come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.0 made 3’s per game. If the Trail Blazers offense is going to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 97.6 possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point shooting units in the NBA.
Defensively, Portland has had its problems giving up an average of 115.11 points per game (27th).
Keep in mind that the top two scorers for the Trail Blazers, Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons, will not be playing in today’s game. This season, Lillard has been averaging 32.2 points per game, and Simons has been averaging 21.1 points per game.
Thunder vs Trail Blazers Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Trail Blazers +8
- Free Total Prediction: Under OFF