Check out our free Thunder vs Warriors pick and preview for this NBA game in San Francisco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Thunder vs Warriors NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors
  • Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
  • Date: Monday, February 6th
  • Betting Odds GS -4.5, OKC +154 | GS -186 O/U 237.5

So far, the Thunder have put together an overall record of 25-27, while going 33-19-0 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Oklahoma City has an overall record of 1-2, including going 1-2 against the spread.

The Thunder will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Rockets by a score of 153-121. Heading into the game, they were 10 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Oklahoma City was able to take care of business in the second half of this game, as they didn’t allow the Rockets to cut into their 26 point halftime lead. In the win, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in scoring with 42 points on a field goal percentage of 60.9%.

The Warriors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 27-26. So far, the team has gone 24-28-1 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Golden State has an overall record of 1-2, including going 0-3 against the spread.

The Warriors are coming off a 119-113 win over the Mavericks. Although they came away with a straight up win, it was not enough to cover the spread as they entered as 10 point favorites. Golden State went on to win the game, as they led by 15 heading into halftime. In the win, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 21 points on a field goal percentage of 63.6%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Last year, the Thunder saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Warriors, averaging 92.67 points per game. While the Thunder struggled on offense in the series, the Warriors maintained their usual level of scoring at 106.33 vs Oklahoma City. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +17 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-1-1. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 215 points in these games.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

For the season, the Oklahoma City offense is the 5th ranked unit in the NBA, at 117.3 points per contest. So far, Oklahoma City is averaging 101.7 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. If the Thunder offense is going to continue to produce at their current level, they would benefit from an improvement in their outside shooting. Currently, they are the 13th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

Against the Warriors, the Thunder will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 15th in points allowed.

On offense, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder in scoring at 31.0 points per game, placing him 4th in the NBA. Overall, Gilgeous-Alexander has hit 50.8% of his shots while accounting for 22.0% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 27th in points allowed to point-guards. At 16.2 points per game, Josh Giddey is the 2nd leading scorer for the Thunder. For the season, he is 100th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 48.7%.

Golden State will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 118.0 points per game (2nd). The Warriors come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 16.4 made 3’s per game. If the Golden State offense is going to continue to produce at a high level, they will need to do a better job taking care of the ball as they are turning the ball over at an above-average rate.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Warriors are giving up an average of 105.46 points per game, good for 3rd in the NBA.

Without Stephen Curry, Golden State will need Jordan Poole to step up and put together a strong scoring performance against the Oklahoma City today. This season, Curry leads the team in scoring with 29.4 points per game. Poole is the team’s 2nd leading scorer with 20.5 points per game, which places him 50.0th in the NBA. In his 53 games, he has hit 43.5% of his field goal attempts and is averaging 2.8 rebounds per game.

Thunder vs Warriors Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Thunder +4.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Under 237.5