Check out our free Thunder vs Warriors pick and preview for this NBA game in San Francisco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Thunder vs Warriors NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Tuesday, April 4th
- Betting Odds GS -8, OKC +259 | GS -330 O/U 242.0
So far, the Thunder have put together an overall record of 38-41, while going 44-34-1 vs the spread. Oklahoma City will take the court having lost 2 straight games. The team has an average scoring margin of -7.0 in these matchups.
Not only did the Thunder drop their last game to the Suns. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 128-118 as 5 point underdogs. Oklahoma City got off to a slow start, trailing by 14 points going into halftime. In the loss, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in scoring with 39 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.
The Warriors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 41-38. So far, the team has gone 36-42-1 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Golden State has an overall record of 2-1, including going 1-2 against the spread.
The Warriors are coming off a dissappointing 112-110 loss to the Nuggets. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 4 points. Golden State went on to lose the game despite leading by 3 heading into halftime. In the loss, Klay Thompson led the team in scoring with 25 points on a field goal percentage of 32.1%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Warriors picked up the 128-120 win over the Thunder. The Warriors point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 5.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 2-1 vs the Thunder. Last year, the Thunder saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Warriors, averaging 92.67 points per game. While the Thunder struggled on offense in the series, the Warriors maintained their usual level of scoring at 106.33 vs Oklahoma City. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +12 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-1-1. Over the course of these games, they averaged 232 points per game, leading a 3-2 over-under record.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Heading into play, the Thunder offense is rated 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 117.5 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Thunder will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.1 made 3’s per game. Despite struggling with their outside shot, Oklahoma City remains one of the better offensive units in large part to their ability to get to the charity stripe. So far, the team is averaging 19.1 made free-throws per game.
Against the Warriors, the Thunder will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 15th in points allowed.
Point-Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander currently leads the Thunder at 31.5 points per game. For the season, he is 9th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 22.0% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 4.8 boards and 5.4 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 28th ranked defense at defending point-guards. Josh Giddey enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 74 games, he is averaging 16.6 and is 94th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Through 79 games, Golden State is the 3rd best scoring team at 118.2 points per game. The Warriors come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 16.5 made 3’s per game. If the Golden State offense is going to continue to produce at a high level, they will need to do a better job taking care of the ball as they are turning the ball over at an above-average rate.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Warriors are giving up an average of 105.46 points per game, good for 3rd in the NBA.
This season, the Warriors offense has primarily worked through Jordan Poole and Stephen Curry who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 79 games, Poole is 51st in the NBA at 20.5 points per game. So far, him and Curry have accounted for 40% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 50.0 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Stephen Curry is grabbing 6.1 rebounds for Golden State to go along with 6.3 assists.
Thunder vs Warriors Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Thunder +8
- Free Total Prediction: Under 242.0