Check out our free Timberwolves vs Mavericks pick and preview for this NBA game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks
- Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
- Date: Monday, February 13th
- Betting Odds DAL -7.5, MIN +240 | DAL -297 O/U 231.0
The Timberwolves come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 30-29. So far, the team has gone 28-31-0 against the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 1-2. Minnesota is 1-2 vs the spread in these matchups.
Not only did the Timberwolves drop their last game to the Grizzlies. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 128-107 as 6 point underdogs. Minnesota struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip away at a 11 point halftime deficit. Leading the team in scoring was Jaylen Nowell, as he contributed 21 points while hitting 56.2% of his shots.
The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 31-27. So far, the team has gone 22-34-2 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Dallas has an overall record of 2-1, including going 2-1 against the spread.
In their previous game, the Mavericks were favored to win vs the Kings. However, their 133-128 loss gave them both a straight up and ATS defeat. Dallas went on to lose the game despite leading by 2 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Kyrie Irving, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 52.4% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Timberwolves picked up the win 116-106 win over the Mavericks. Heading into the game, Minnesota was the 5.0 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two team’s have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Last year, the Timberwolves saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Mavericks, averaging 109.25 points per game. While the Timberwolves struggled on offense in the series, the Mavericks maintained their usual level of scoring at 106.0 vs Minnesota. In terms of betting vs the spread, the Mavericks have gone 3-2, but the Timberwolves actually have a positive scoring differential. In these meetings, Minnesota has averaged 108 points per contest, while allowing 105. In these contests, they averaged a combined 213 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Heading into play, the Timberwolves offense is rated 10th in the league in scoring, averaging 115.7 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.0 made 3’s per game. One reason that they are still scoring at a high rate, is the fact that they are ranked 6th in the NBA in possessions per contest. These increased opportunites have helped make up for the lack of outside shooting.
Currently, the Timberwolves defense is ranked 24th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 113.3 points per game vs the unit.
This season, the Timberwolves offense has primarily worked through Anthony Edwards and Jaylen Nowell who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 59 games, Edwards is 24th in the NBA at 24.6 points per game. So far, him and Nowell have accounted for 33% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 35.8 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jaylen Nowell is grabbing 2.7 rebounds for Minnesota to go along with 2.1 assists.
For the season, the Mavericks offensive unit is ranked just 21st in scoring at 112.9 points per contest. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Mavericks are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.4 per contest. Even though the Mavericks are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 36.5%, their slower-style of play may be holding back the team’s offense from fully taking off.
Against the Timberwolves, the Mavericks will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 2nd ranked unit at 104.72 points per game.
On offense, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring at 33.2 points per game, placing him 2nd in the NBA. Overall, Doncic has hit 50.5% of his shots while accounting for 26.8% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 21st in points allowed to point-guards. At 27.0 points per game, Kyrie Irving is the 2nd leading scorer for the Mavericks. For the season, he is 37th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 48.6%.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Timberwolves +7.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over 231.0