Check out our free Timberwolves vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Tuesday, February 7th
- Betting Odds DEN -8, MIN +269 | DEN -337 O/U 236.0
The Timberwolves come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 29-27. So far, the team has gone 27-29-0 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
In their previous game, the Timberwolves took down the Nuggets by a score of 128-98. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 8 point favorites. Minnesota was able to maintain control throughout the game, as they outscored the Nuggets in each quarter. Leading the team in scoring was Anthony Edwards, as he contributed 20 points while hitting 47.1% of his shots.
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 37-17. So far, the team has gone 28-25-1 against the spread. Against the spread, Denver has a mark of 2-1. Straight up, their record is 2-1 in these games.
Not only did the Nuggets drop their last game to the Timberwolves. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 128-98 as 8 point underdogs. In the defeat, Denver did not outscore the Timberwolves in a single quarter. Leading the team in scoring was Michael Porter Jr., as he contributed 22 points while hitting 43.8% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Timberwolves averaged 120.25 points per game vs the Nuggets. Just like the Timberwolves, the Nuggets maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 111.25 points per game vs Minnesota. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Timberwolves have averaged 127 points per game compared to 115 for Denver. This has led to an ATS record of 5-0 for Minnesota. Over the course of these games, they averaged 242 points per game, leading a 4-1 over-under record.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Heading into play, the Timberwolves offense is rated 10th in the league in scoring, averaging 115.5 points per contest. When looking at the Timberwolves pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 101.2. Not only is the team ranked near the top of the league in possessions, but this fast-paced style has translated to an increased number of made shots, as they are 11th in the league in made field goals per game.
Against the Nuggets, the Timberwolves will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 24th in points allowed.
Shooting Guard Anthony Edwards currently leads the Timberwolves at 24.7 points per game. For the season, he is 26th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 22.2% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Edwards is averaging 6.0 boards and 4.5 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 20th ranked defense at defending shooting guards. D’Angelo Russell enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 53 games, he is averaging 18.1 and is 105th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Denver will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 116.8 points per game (7th). Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.3 made 3’s per game. If the Denver offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 14.3 turnovers per game.
On defense, the Nuggets will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 14th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
This season, the Nuggets offense has primarily worked through Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 46 games, Jokic is 19th in the NBA at 24.8 points per game. So far, him and Murray have accounted for 36% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 45.0 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jamal Murray is grabbing 4.1 rebounds for Denver to go along with 5.8 assists.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets -8
- Free Total Prediction: Under 236.0
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