Check out our free Timberwolves vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets
  • Where: Denver at Ball Arena
  • Date: Wednesday, January 18th
  • Betting Odds DEN -8.5, MIN +283 | DEN -360 O/U OFF

So far, the Timberwolves have put together an overall record of 22-23, while going 19-26-0 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Minnesota has an overall record of 2-1, including going 1-2 against the spread.

In their previous game, the Timberwolves were favored to win vs the Jazz. However, their 126-125 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. Minnesota let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Anthony Edwards led the team in scoring with 29 points on a field goal percentage of 40.0%.

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The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 31-13. So far, the team has gone 23-20-1 against the spread. Denver comes into the game having rattled off 7 straight wins. In these victories, the team has an average scoring margin of 15.71 points per game

In their previous game, the Nuggets took down the Trail Blazers by a score of 122-113. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 5 point favorites. Denver went on to win the game, as they led by 6 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Nikola Jokic, as he contributed 36 points while hitting 92.9% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Similar to their season-long average, the Timberwolves averaged 120.25 points per game vs the Nuggets. Just like the Timberwolves, the Nuggets maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 111.25 points per game vs Minnesota. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Timberwolves have averaged 121 points per game compared to 111 for Denver. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for Minnesota. Minnesota and Denver averaged a combined 232 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Timberwolves come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 115.0 points per game (12th). Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.3 made 3’s per game. If the Minnesota offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 15.2 turnovers per game.

Against the Nuggets, the Timberwolves will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 24th in points allowed.

One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Anthony Edwards, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Edwards leads the team in scoring at 23.9 points per game while Russell is 2nd at 17.1. For the season, Edwards is 27th in the NBA in usage rate and 80th in player efficiency. Behind him, Russell has taken 15.1% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 46.1%.

Through 44 games, Denver is the 6th best scoring team at 117.2 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Nuggets are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.3 per contest. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 39.8% has help make up for fewer opportunites.

Against the Timberwolves, the Nuggets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 14th in points allowed.

Center Nikola Jokic currently leads the Nuggets at 25.0 points per game. For the season, he is 37th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.5% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Jokic is averaging 11.0 boards and 9.8 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 6th ranked defense at defending centers. Jamal Murray enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 37 games, he is averaging 18.5 and is 89th in the league in player efficiency rating.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets -8.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over OFF


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