Check out our free Warriors vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Warriors vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Sunday, April 2nd
- Betting Odds DEN -2.5, GS +115 | DEN -139 O/U OFF
The Warriors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 41-37. So far, the team has gone 36-41-1 against the spread. Golden State comes into the game having rattled off 2 straight wins. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of 13.0 points.
Golden State is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Spurs. Going into the game, they were 18 point favorites against the spread. Their 130-115 victory was not enough to cover. Although Golden State held just a 3 point lead at half, they put together a strong second half on their way to a 15 point victory. In the win, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 33 points on a field goal percentage of 52.4%.
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 51-26. So far, the team has gone 41-35-1 against the spread. Against the Warriors, the Nuggets are looking to break out of a 2 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -13.0 points per contest.
Denver will be gunning to get in the win column vs Golden State, as they previously lost to the Suns by a score of 100-93. However, because they entered as 13 point underdogs, they came away with an ATS win. In the loss, Denver got off to a slow start, trailing by 20 points going into halftime. In the loss, Aaron Gordon led the team in scoring with 26 points on a field goal percentage of 43.5%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the win 128-123 win over the Warriors. Heading into the game, Denver was the 5.5 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Nuggets have a record of 2-0 vs the Warriors. Similar to their season-long average, the Warriors averaged 109.75 points per game vs the Nuggets. Similar to the Warriors, the Nuggets scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Golden State, the team averaged 109.75 points per game. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Nuggets have an average scoring margin of +3 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 235 points in these games.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Golden State offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 3rd ranked offense at 118.3 points per game. The Warriors come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 16.6 made 3’s per game. In addition to their strong outside shooting numbers, the team is playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, averaging 101.7 possessions per contest.
Against the Nuggets, the Warriors will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 3rd ranked unit at 105.46 points per game.
Point-Guard Jordan Poole currently leads the Warriors at 20.5 points per game. For the season, he is 29th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.5% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Poole is averaging 2.7 boards and 4.6 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 22nd ranked defense at defending point-guards. Stephen Curry enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 52 games, he is averaging 29.7 and is 12th in the league in player efficiency rating.
The Denver offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 10th ranked offense at 116.1 points per game. So far, the Nuggets are averaging 97.8 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 38.4% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
Against the Warriors, the Nuggets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 14th in points allowed.
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Nikola Jokic, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Jokic leads the team in scoring at 24.9 points per game while Murray is 2nd at 20.2. For the season, Jokic is 46th in the NBA in usage rate and 3rd in player efficiency. Behind him, Murray has taken 18.8% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 45.3%.
Warriors vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Warriors +2.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF