Check out our free Warriors vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Warriors vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets
  • Where: Denver at Ball Arena
  • Date: Thursday, February 2nd
  • Betting Odds DEN -11.5, GS +442 | DEN -619 O/U OFF

So far, the Warriors have put together an overall record of 26-25, while going 24-26-1 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.

The Warriors are coming off a disappointing 119-114 loss to the Timberwolves. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 5 points. Golden State let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 29 points on a field goal percentage of 38.1%.

So far, the Nuggets have put together an overall record of 35-16, while going 26-24-1 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Denver has an overall record of 1-2, including going 2-1 against the spread.

In their previous game, the Nuggets took down the Pelicans by a score of 122-113. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 7 point favorites. Denver went on to win the game, despite trailing by 3 going into halftime. In the win, Jamal Murray led the team in scoring with 32 points on a field goal percentage of 47.6%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Similar to their season-long average, the Warriors averaged 109.75 points per game vs the Nuggets. Similar to the Warriors, the Nuggets scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Golden State, the team averaged 109.75 points per game. When looking at how these teams have performed vs the spread in recent matchups, the Nuggets have an ATS mark of 3-2. Yet, the Warriors have averaged more points per game in these contests, at 118 compared to Denver at 118. Golden State and Denver averaged a combined 232 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

Heading into play, the Warriors offense is rated 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging 118.0 points per contest. In terms of pace, the Warriors are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 102.8 possessions per game. Although the team is playing at an up-tempo speed, they would benefit from scoring with more efficiency, as they are just 15th in the league in overall field goal percentage, at 56.4%.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Warriors are giving up an average of 105.46 points per game, good for 3rd in the NBA.

This season, the Warriors offense has primarily worked through Stephen Curry and Jordan Poole who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 36 games, Curry is 8th in the NBA at 29.7 points per game. So far, him and Poole have accounted for 40% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 50.5 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jordan Poole is grabbing 2.8 rebounds for Golden State to go along with 4.4 assists.

Denver will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 116.6 points per game (8th). When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Nuggets are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.1 per contest. Even though the team has preferred to play at a slower pace, their effective field goal percentage of 57.9% has helped them with their overall scoring numbers.

On defense, the Nuggets will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 14th ranked unit in points allowed per game.

Center Nikola Jokic currently leads the Nuggets at 25.1 points per game. For the season, he is 40th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.5% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Jokic is averaging 11.1 boards and 10.0 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 13th ranked defense at defending centers. Jamal Murray enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 43 games, he is averaging 19.4 and is 79th in the league in player efficiency rating.

Warriors vs Nuggets Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Warriors +11.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over OFF