Check out our free Warriors vs Thunder pick and preview for this NBA game in Oklahoma City. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Warriors vs Thunder NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder
- Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
- Date: Monday, January 30th
- Betting Odds OKC +4.5, GS -182 | OKC +148 O/U 241.0
The Warriors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 25-24. So far, the team has gone 23-25-1 against the spread. Against the Thunder, the Warriors are looking to add to their current 2 game winning streak. Team has an average scoring margin of 7.0 in these matchups.
The Warriors will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Raptors by a score of 129-117. Heading into the game, they were 4 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Although Golden State held just a 1 point lead at half, they put together a strong second half on their way to a 12 point victory. In the win, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 35 points on a field goal percentage of 61.9%.
The Thunder come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 24-25. So far, the team has gone 32-17-0 against the spread. Against the spread, Oklahoma City has a mark of 2-1. Straight up, their record is 2-1 in these games.
In their previous game, the Thunder took down the Cavaliers by a score of 112-100. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 1 point favorites. Even though Oklahoma City trailed by 7 heading into the 2nd half, they put together a strong enough 3rd quarter to even the score. Leading the team in scoring was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as he contributed 35 points while hitting 57.1% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
Not only did the Warriors finish with an above .500 record on the road in last year’s head-to-head matchup vs Oklahoma City, but they also won over half of their games as the road team. Similar to their season-long average, the Warriors averaged 106.33 points per game vs the Thunder. While the Warriors were able to maintain their usual level of production against Oklahoma City, the Thunder averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 92.67. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Warriors have averaged 114 points per game compared to 94 for Oklahoma City. This has led to an ATS record of 3-1-1 for Golden State. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 1-4. Combined, they averaged 208 points in these games.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Heading into play, the Warriors offense is rated 2nd in the league in scoring, averaging 117.9 points per contest. The Warriors come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 16.4 made 3’s per game. In addition to their strong outside shooting numbers, the team is playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, averaging 102.5 possessions per contest.
Against the Thunder, the Warriors will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 3rd ranked unit at 105.46 points per game.
On offense, Jordan Poole leads the Warriors in scoring at 21.0 points per game, placing him 46th in the NBA. Overall, Poole has hit 43.9% of his shots while accounting for 18.1% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 7th in points allowed to point-guards. At 29.5 points per game, Stephen Curry is the 2nd leading scorer for the Warriors. For the season, he is 16th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 49.1%.
Through 49 games, Oklahoma City is the 6th best scoring team at 116.8 points per game. So far, Oklahoma City is averaging 101.7 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. Heading into the game, the Thunder will look to continue with their formula of playing fast and getting to the basket, as they are near the top of the league in two-point fields made per game.
On defense, the Thunder will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 15th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
This season, the Thunder offense has primarily worked through Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 45 games, Gilgeous-Alexander is 5th in the NBA at 30.9 points per game. So far, him and Giddey have accounted for 37% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 46.9 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Josh Giddey is grabbing 8.0 rebounds for Oklahoma City to go along with 5.7 assists.
Warriors vs Thunder Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Thunder +4.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 241.0