Check out our free Warriors vs Thunder pick and preview for this NBA game in Oklahoma City. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Warriors vs Thunder NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
  • Date: Tuesday, March 7th
  • Betting Odds OKC +4.5, GS -180 | OKC +150 O/U 241.5

The Warriors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 34-31. So far, the team has gone 31-33-1 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.

In their previous game, the Warriors were favored to win vs the Lakers. However, their 113-105 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. In the game, the two teams played a tight first-half, as Golden State only trailed by 1. However, the Warriors were able to pull away in the 2nd half and pick up the win. Leading the team in scoring was Stephen Curry, as he contributed 27 points while hitting 40.0% of his shots.

The Thunder come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 30-34. So far, the team has gone 38-25-1 against the spread. The Thunder entered today’s game having picked up 2 straight wins. This has come on an average scoring differential of 18.5 points per game.

The Thunder will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Jazz by a score of 129-119. Heading into the game, they were 6 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Oklahoma City played well enough in the second half to prevent the Jazz from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 19 going into halftime. In the win, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in scoring with 38 points on a field goal percentage of 58.8%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Warriors picked up the 128-120 win over the Thunder. The Warriors point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 5.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 2-0 vs the Thunder. Similar to their season-long average, the Warriors averaged 106.33 points per game vs the Thunder. While the Warriors were able to maintain their usual level of production against Oklahoma City, the Thunder averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 92.67. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Warriors have averaged 117 points per game compared to 102 for Oklahoma City. This has led to an ATS record of 3-1-1 for Golden State. Over the course of these games, they averaged 219 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Golden State offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 3rd ranked offense at 118.0 points per game. When looking at the Warriors pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 102.0. A key aspect of the team’s offensive success is their ability to pair an up-tempo style of play with efficient outside shooting. So far, they are the 4th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Warriors are giving up an average of 105.46 points per game, good for 3rd in the NBA.

This season, the Warriors offense has primarily worked through Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 65 games, Poole is 48th in the NBA at 20.8 points per game. So far, him and Thompson have accounted for 38% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 42.900000000000006 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Klay Thompson is grabbing 4.1 rebounds for Golden State to go along with 2.5 assists.

The Oklahoma City offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 2nd ranked offense at 118.2 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Thunder will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.3 made 3’s per game. Although Oklahoma City has struggled with their outside shot, they have done a good job taking care of the ball, averaging just 12.7 turnovers per game.

Against the Warriors, the Thunder will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 15th in points allowed.

On offense, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder in scoring at 31.1 points per game, placing him 5th in the NBA. Overall, Gilgeous-Alexander has hit 50.8% of his shots while accounting for 21.7% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 27th in points allowed to point-guards. At 16.3 points per game, Josh Giddey is the 2nd leading scorer for the Thunder. For the season, he is 97th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 48.7%.

Warriors vs Thunder Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Thunder +4.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 241.5