Check out our free Wizards vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Wizards vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Washington Wizards at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at FTX Arena
- Date: Wednesday, November 23rd
- Betting Odds MIA -2, WAS +104 | MIA -127 O/U 211.5
So far, the Wizards have put together an overall record of 10-7, while going 9-8-0 vs the spread. The Wizards entered today’s game having picked up 2 straight wins. They have won these games by an average of 2.5 points.
Washington is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Hornets. Going into the game, they were 5 point favorites on the spread. Their 106-102 victory was not enough to cover. This was a highly contested matchup, as Washington was not able to extend their lead in the second half as they went into halftime with a 4 point lead. Leading the team in scoring was Kyle Kuzma, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 52.6% of his shots.
So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 7-11, while going 5-13-0 vs the spread. Today, the Heat will be looking to snap a 4 game losing streak. The team has lost these games by an average of -9.75 points per contest.
The Heat will be looking to bounce back from a 105-101 loss to the Timberwolves. In terms of betting, Miami entered as 8 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. Miami went on to lose the game despite leading by 13 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Kyle Lowry, as he contributed 21 points while hitting 31.2% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In last year’s regular season games with the Heat as the home team, Miami went 2-0. Overall, they posted a mark of 3-1 against the Wizards. Last year, the Wizards saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Heat, averaging 103.0 points per game. While the Wizards struggled on offense in the series, the Heat maintained their usual level of scoring at 113.0 vs Washington. In terms of betting, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Washington. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +8 points per game in favor of the Heat. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 214 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 17 games, Washington is averaging 108.6 points per game (27th). Coming into today’s game, the Wizards will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.2 made 3’s per game. Not only is the Washington offense struggling with their outside shot, but they are also getting to the charity stripe at a below average rate. So far, they are the 26th ranked team in made free-throws per contest.
Defensively, Washington has had its problems giving up an average of 112.0 points per game (16th).
This season, the Wizards offense has primarily worked through Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 16 games, Porzingis is 43rd in the NBA at 20.38 points per game. So far, him and Kuzma have accounted for 36% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 39.44 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Kyle Kuzma is grabbing 8.24 rebounds for Washington to go along with 3.35 assists.
This season, the Miami offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 108.2 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.8 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 10th in fewest turnovers per game.
Against the Wizards, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
Before getting a bet down on this matchup, be sure to check in on the health status of Max Strus who is 2nd on the team in scoring at 15.28 points per game. At the time of this article, Strus is listed as questionable. For the season, he is 6th on the team in usage rate and is 292nd in the NBA in player efficiency rating. If he is able to play, Miami benefit from having both of their top scorers as Bam Adebayo leads the team and is 54th in the league in scoring (19.06). For today’s matchup, he will be going against a defense ranked 4th in points allowed to centers.
Wizards vs Heat Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Wizards +2
- Free Total Prediction: Over 211.5
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