While Rodney on our FREE PLAY OF THE DAY is gambling with the Jets +10.5, we have a guest post previewing Monday Night Football with the Patriots – 9.5. That’s the nature of sports betting. No matter who you bet, good luck and practice good bankroll management:
Monday Night Football features a matchup of AFC East rivals as the unbeaten New England Patriots (6-0) travel to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (1-4). This feels like a bit of a David versus Goliath-type battle as the Patriots have been rolling on both sides of the ball versus an underwhelming Jets team thus far. Still, with the return of Sam Darnold last week, the Jets become a little more formidable and will look to upset the Patriots on their home turf. Kickoff for this one is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET.
The New England Patriots come into this one having not been challenged in a couple of weeks. Two weeks ago, they easily took care of the Redskins 33-7, and last week, they took down the Giants 35-14. Given that they played on Thursday in Week 6, they actually come into this one with extra rest (and time for preparation). That could be bad news for a Jets team that lost to the Patriots 30-14 in Week 3.
For the Jets, after being embarrassed a couple of weeks ago at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles 31-6, they were able to shock the Dallas Cowboys with a 24-22 upset victory last Sunday. In large part, they were aided by the return of Darnold, who threw for 338 yards and a couple of touchdowns. He will have a bit of a harder time doing that this week against the Patriots, despite playing at home.
The New England Patriots come into this as 9.5-point favorites despite playing on the road. The over/under for points scored is set at 43.5.
By The Numbers
On the offensive side, it is New England that is far superior. In fact, New England ranks atop the list of offensive scoring, averaging 31.7 points per game (30.7 on the road). The Jets come in second to last at 31st, averaging 12.6 points per game (14.3 at home). Again, that number is slightly skewed, given they had a backup quarterback running the team for a few weeks.
On the defensive side, it has been all New England once again. As good as their offense has been, their defense has been equally as impressive. In fact, they also rank atop the defensive scoring list, allowing just eight points per game on average (5.7 on the road). The Jets are 21st overall, allowing 24.6 points per game (20.7 at home).
Patriots Look To Remain Unbeaten
The Patriots have been one of the most intimidating teams in the NFL for years now, and this year is no different. Despite his age, Tom Brady has once again been leading the offense to top of the league-type stats. On the season, Brady is 149 for 228 for 1,743 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. In six games, the future Hall-of-Famer has been sacked 10 times.
Brady’s favorite target has been Julian Edelman. Despite playing through a chest injury, Edelman continues to produce. Thus far he has 38 catches for 449 yards and two touchdowns. Second on that list is running back James White, who has 31 catches for 224 yards and a score.
Speaking of running backs, Sony Michel leads the way on the ground for New England with 100 carries for 348 yards and three touchdowns. James White has 16 carries for 62 yards, and Rex Burkhead, who is questionable for this one, has 24 rushes for 112 yards and a touchdown. The Patriots can beat you offensively in a lot of ways.
Jets Looking For Huge Upset
Thankfully for Jets fans, they no longer have to watch Luke Falk or Trevor Siemian try to navigate through a game. Instead, they welcomed Darnold back last week. In two games this season, Darnold has gone 51 for 73 with 513 yards, three touchdowns and an interception. He has, in limited time, been sacked six times.
Through the air, the leader for the Jets has been Jamison Crowder, who has 28 catches for 272 yards. The next best receiver has been running back Le’ Veon Bell. He has 28 catches for 169 yards and a score.
Bell also leads the Jets with 85 carries for 256 yards and a touchdown. While he may not be the same running back he was in his best years with the Steelers, he still has a little bit left in the tank.
New England Wins And Covers
The New York Jets are undeniably a better team with Darnold under center, but that doesn’t mean that they are on the same level as the Patriots, or even close for that matter. The Patriots have been absolutely dominating teams on both sides of the ball, and I expect that this is going to happen again this week, too.
I have to think that they will be ready for anything the Jets could throw at them. It is always hard to basically spot someone a touchdown and field goal, but for the Patriots this week, that is exactly what I am doing. For my money, I am taking the Patriots -9.5.