Check out our free Dolphins vs Bengals pick and preview for NFL week 4 game in Cincinnati. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NFL matchup.

Dolphins vs Bengals Pick & Preview- NFL Week 4

On Thursday, September 29th at 8:15 PM ET, the Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. AMAZON will carry the TV coverage for the game. The odds for this week 4 AFC matchup have the Bengals as the -3.5 point favorite on the spread.

Dolphins vs Bengals Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals
  • Where: Cincinnati at Paycor Stadium
  • Date: Thursday, September 29th
  • Betting Odds CIN -3.5, MIA +161 | CIN +-193 O/U 47.0

Can Tua Tagovailoa Help Lead The Dolphins To A Road Upset At Cincinnati?

Last week, the Dolphins picked up a game in the AFC East, as they took down the Bills by a score of 21-19. In terms of betting, Miami picked up an ATS win, as they were the 4.5 point underdogs. With an over-under betting line of 54, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 40.

The Dolphins 21 points was right in line with last year’s season average of 20.06 points per game.

Miami struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 41 yards on 17 attempts. Chase Edmonds was the team’s leading rusher with just 21 yards, but found the endzone 2 times.

Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa struggled to move the ball in the passing game, finishing with just 186 through the air and a passer rating of 123.84. To finish the game, Tagovailoa had 1 passing touchdown. Although Jaylen Waddle did not come up with a touchdown grab, he was still productive with 102 receiving yards. Miami is the ranked team in pass yards per game, averaging 291.33 overall. Going into the game, the Dolphins have thrown a total of 2.0 interceptions, coming on a passing completion percentage of 68.9% (6th).

This season, the Dolphins have generated 6 sacks, which is just 23rd in the league. However, they could be in line to see this number increase as they are generating hits on the quarterback at a high rate.

Can Joe Burrow And The Bengals Take Care Of Business At Home?

The Bengals head into week 3, looking for another win, as they picked up 15 point victory over the New York Jets (27-12). Not only did Cincinnati walk home with the win, but they also covered the spread as -6.5 point favorites. The two teams combined point total of 39 remained below the betting line of 46.

The Bengals 27 points was a similar performance to last year’s season average that placed Cincinnati 27.06 in the league.

For the game, Cincinnati ran the ball 28 times, finishing with 69 rushing yards. The team’s leading rusher was Samaje Perine, who finished with just 47 yards and a per attempt average of 9.

Joe Burrow was able to rack up 275 passing yards on an overall passer rating of 114.93. Burrow completed 3 passes for touchdowns. Leading the way in the passing game was Tyler Boyd, as he accumulated 105 yards and hauled in a touchdown. Overall, Cincinnati is the 14th ranked team in pass yards per game, with an average of 241.67. This season, 55.07% of the team’s offensive plays have come through the pass, placing them 19th in the NFL.

So far, the Bengals defense has sacked the opposing team’s quarterback 6 times, placing them just 22nd in the NFL. On the season, they have generated QB hits at a rate closer to the league average at 15.0%.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NFL Game

Miami and Cincinnati did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.

Miami comes into the game looking to continue their recent success over Cincinnati, as they have a record of 3-2 over the last 5 meetings. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-3-1, with the average scoring total coming in at 42.8 points.

The Miami Dolphins have gone 2-2 vs the spread in these games. The Dolphins offense has averaged 20.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Cincinnati, compared to the Bengals at 22.2.

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Dolphins vs Bengals Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Bengals -3.5