Check out our free Chiefs vs Buccaneers pick and preview for NFL week 4 game in Tampa Bay. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NFL matchup.

Chiefs vs Buccaneers Pick & Preview- NFL Week 4

The Chiefs will play host to the Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, FL, with a kickoff scheduled for 8:20 PM ET. The game will be televised on NBC. The odds for this week 4 non-conference matchup have the Chiefs as the -2.5 point favorite on the spread.

Chiefs vs Buccaneers Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Where: Tampa Bay at Raymond James Stadium
  • Date: Sunday, October 2nd
  • Betting Odds KC -2.5, KC +-141 | TB +117 O/U 45.0

Can Patrick Mahomes And The Chiefs Come Away With A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 4, the Chiefs will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 20-17 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. Going into the game, the oddsmakers had Chiefs as the -4.5 favorite. The team’s combined scoring of 37 points, fell below the posted betting line of 51.

Compared to last year, where the Chiefs averaged 28.24 points per game, the team’s 17 was a disappointing performance.

For the game, Kansas City ran the ball 23 times, finishing with 58 rushing yards. The team’s leading rusher was Patrick Mahomes, who finished with just 26 yards and a per attempt average of 6.5.

At the quarterback position, Patrick Mahomes ended the game with a passer rating of 78.51 on 262 yards through the air. For the game, Mahomes threw for 1 touchdown. Although JuJu Smith-Schuster did not come up with a touchdown grab through the air, he was still productive with 89 yards. Averaging 36.666666666666664 attempts per game, Kansas City is ranked 13th in the league. Heading into the game, the Chiefs have just 1 offensive interception, good for a rank of 2nd in the league.

Although the defense has generated a high number of sacks, the overall QB hit percentage of [away_defense_qb_hit_percent_rank_str]% is closer to the NFL average.

Will The Buccaneers Take Advantage Of Playing At Raymond James Stadium vs The Chiefs?

In week 3, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers dropped their NFC matchup against the Packers by a score of 14-12. By dropping the game, the team also failed to cover the spread, as they were had a -1.5 advantage on the spread. The team’s combined scoring of 26 points fell below the posted betting line of 42.

Compared to last year, where the Buccaneers averaged 30.06 points per game, the team’s 12 was a disappointing performance.

Tampa Bay struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 34 yards on 14 attempts. The team’s leading rusher was Leonard Fournette, who finished with just 35 yards and a per attempt average of 12.

Quarterback Tom Brady had an excellent game through the air, finishing with 271 total passing yards, leading to a passer rating of 98.41. Brady was able to cap off his strong statistical game by throwing for 1 touchdown. Russell Gage led the way for Tampa Bay at receiver, finding the endzone once to go along with his 87 yards. On average, Tampa Bay has thrown the ball 34.333333333333336 times per game, placing them 20th in the league. This season, 55.38% of the team’s offensive plays have come through the pass, placing them 17th in the NFL.

Despite the team’s defense generating sacks at a high rate, 18.0th% is closer to the NFL average in QB hits.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NFL Game

Last year, the Chiefs and Buccaneers did not play each other.

When looking back at the recent matchups between Kansas City and Tampa Bay, the Buccaneers put together a record of 1-4. The two teams have combined to average 46.4 points per game in their last 5 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 4-1-0. On average, the Chiefs have averaged 18.0 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Tampa Bay at 28.4.

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Chiefs vs Buccaneers Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Buccaneers 2.5