In this week 17 NFL preview between Dolphins and Patriots, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

Dolphins vs Patriots Pick & Preview- NFL Week 17

Kickoff for this matchup between the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots is set for 1:00 PM ET. The game will be played in Foxborough, MA at Gillette Stadium with CBS carrying television coverage. The odds for this week 17 AFC East matchup have the Patriots as the -2.5 point favorite on the spread.

Dolphins vs Patriots Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
  • Where: Foxborough at Gillette Stadium
  • Date: Sunday, January 1st
  • Betting Odds NE -2.5, MIA +117 | NE -142 O/U 42.5

Will Tua Tagovailoa Lead The Dolphins To A Win In What Figures To Be A Tightly Contested Game?

Heading into week 17, the Dolphins will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 26-20 loss to the Green Bay Packers. By dropping the game, the team also failed to cover the spread, as they had a -3.5 advantage on the spread. With an over-under betting line of 49, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 46.

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Miami struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 82 yards on 18 attempts. The team’s leading rusher was Raheem Mostert, who finished with just 45 yards and a per-attempt average of 5.6.

Tua Tagovailoa was able to rack up 310 passing yards on an overall passer rating of 80.8. Tagovailoa was able to cap off his strong statistical game by throwing for 1 touchdown. Leading the way in the passing game was Jaylen Waddle, as he accumulated 143 yards and hauled in a touchdown. In terms of pass yards per game, on average, Miami is the 2nd ranked team in the NFL. Currently, 74.15% of their yards come through the air, ranking them 3rd in the NFL.

Will Mac Jones Lead The Patriots To A Win Over Miami?

Heading into week 17, the Patriots will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 22-18 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. In terms of betting, New England not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 3.0 point underdogs. The two teams combined point total of 40 remained below the betting line of 41.

New England struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 61 yards on 16 attempts. The team’s leading rusher was Rhamondre Stevenson, who finished with just 30 yards and a per-attempt average of 13.

New England quarterback Mac Jones threw for a total of 240 yards on a completion percentage of 63%, along with 2 touchdowns. Kendrick Bourne had a big game for New England in the passing game, coming up with 100 yards and a touchdown. New England throws the ball 31.1 times per game, ranking them 24th in the league. Going into the game, the Patriots have thrown a total of 11.0 interceptions, coming on a passing completion percentage of 67.33% (4th).

Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NFL Game

The Dolphins will be looking to pick up yet another win over the Patriots as they picked up a 20-7 win at home in week 1. Not only did the Dolphins come out on top in the win column, but they also covered the spread as +2.5 point underdogs. Last season, the Dolphins and Patriots met up for 2 games, with Miami winning both matchups by scores of 33-24 and 17-16.

When looking back at the recent matchups between Miami and New England, the Dolphins put together a record of 4-1. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-4, with the average scoring total coming in at 36.6 points.

The Miami Dolphins have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-1. The Dolphins’ offense has averaged 20.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with New England, compared to the Patriots at 16.0.

Through their last 5 road contests, the Dolphins’ offense has averaged 25.8 points per game while allowing an average of 29.4. Miami posted an overall record of 2-3-0 while going 2-3 ATS.

In their last 5 games at home, the Patriots have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 15.6 points per game in these contests.

Dolphins vs Patriots Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Patriots -2.5