The Los Angeles Rams look to get back on the winning track when they host the winless New York Giants in a Week 4 matchup on Sunday. The Rams are coming off a bitter defeat at Buffalo last weekend but are 12.5-point home favorites in this one. In this Giants vs Rams Betting Preview, we’ll take a closer look at this contest.
The winless Giants have cemented themselves as one of the bottom teams in the league with their 36-9 loss to the 49ers backups last week. The loss of star running back Saquon Barkley for the year leaves second-year QB Daniel Jones without much help.
For the Rams, they are coming off a rollercoaster of a game against Buffalo, which saw them storm back from down 28-10, only to give up the lead and lose 35-32. Despite their first loss of the year, many are encouraged by the comeback effort.
Don’t let the -12.5 scare you off from taking the superior team. The Rams are 16-13-1 ATS as a double-digit home favorite. From the beginning of 2018 to present day, the Rams are 8-6-1 as the home favorite ATS.
The absence of fans adds a new layer of complexity around betting the NFL this year, particularly Giants vs Rams betting. Home teams certainly still have some advantages, such as getting to wake up in your own bed, playing on your familiar field and not having to travel.
However, it’s tough to put stock into the typical home-field advantage that often dictates lines. We don’t have data for an NFL season coinciding with a pandemic. As bettors, what we can do is study the teams’ performance up to this point and the matchups on the field.
Giants vs Rams Betting: Different Offenses
When considering the large spread in this one, the biggest factor may be the disparity between the offensive outputs of these two teams. Los Angeles is third in the NFL with nearly 450 yards per game, while New York comes in 31st with just 272 yards per contest. Yards don’t necessarily equal points, but they most definitely help.
At first glance, this is probably not surprising when you consider the plethora of offensive playmakers the Rams have in receivers Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp and tight end Tyler Higbee. Quarterback Jared Goff is making smart decisions with the ball, and head coach Sean McVay has dialed up creative plays getting Goff on the move and putting the ball in his receivers’ hands.
You compare this with the desolate skill position players the Giants are putting on the field, and you’ll be hard-pressed to find someone banging the table for a closer betting line.
It’s clear these teams are in different classes and charting wildly different courses for the year. The Giants look poised to own a top-four pick, while the Rams are built to make a run now, in what is a deep and challenging NFC West.
Giants vs Rams Betting: Hard To Stop
Let’s take a look at a key matchup on the other side of the ball. The Rams have one of the most dominant defensive players in the league in defensive tackle Aaron Donald, a man who can change the course of the game on his own. Donald has 3.0 sacks on the year so far.
Now, opposite Donald will be a center by the name of Nick Gates for New York, making his first career NFL start at the position. Being tasked with blocking Donald skirts past any honeymoon phase he may have expected for his transition to a new position.
Couple this with Daniel Jones already running for his life this year (sacked nine times through three games), and it’s easy to see the game getting away from New York in a hurry.
If, despite all this of this information on Giants vs Rams betting, you’re considering taking the Giants at +12.5, there is one occurrence that is sure to have no impact on the game this Sunday. In 2002, as a double-digit road dog, the Giants went to the then-St. Louis Rams and came away with a victory. Best of luck this Sunday, and as always, bet responsibly.