In this Divisional Round NFL preview between Jaguars and Chiefs, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Pick & Preview- NFL Divisional Round

Kickoff for this matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs is set for 4:30 PM ET. The game will be played in Kansas City, MO at Arrowhead Stadium, with NBC carrying television coverage. The odds for this Divisional Round AFC matchup have the Chiefs as the -8.5 point favorite on the spread.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs
  • Where: Kansas City at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Date: Saturday, January 21st
  • Betting Odds KC -8.5, JAX +335 | KC -435 O/U 52.0

Will Trevor Lawrence And The Jaguars Pull Off The Upset In Kansas City?

Heading into Divisional Round, the Jaguars are looking to add another win after knocking off Los Angeles Chargers by a score of 31-30. Not only did the Jaguars win the game, but they also covered the spread a 2.0 point underdogs. With their combined 61 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 46.

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Jacksonville ran the ball 21 times, finishing with 117 yards. Individually, Travis Etienne Jr. compiled 109 yards, with a per-attempt average of 5.4.

Quarterback Trevor Lawrence had an excellent game through the air, finishing with 288 total passing yards, leading to a passer rating of 70.2. Lawrence completed 4 passes for touchdowns. Leading the way at receiver was Evan Engram, as he accumulated 93 yards and hauled in a touchdown. With 36 passes per game, Jacksonville ranks 10th in the league. Thus far, 65.5% of their yards through the air, which is 14 in the NFL.

Will The Chiefs Take Care Of Business As Heavy Home Favorite?

Kansas City will be looking to add another win to their resume, as they most recently picked up a divsion win over the Las Vegas Raiders. The Chiefs won by a margin of 31-13. Besides winning straight up, the Chiefs also came home with an ATS win as the -8.5 point favorites. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 52.

Offensively, Kansas City found success in the run game, putting up 168 on 28 attempts. In addition to running for 64 yards, Isiah Pacheco ran for 1 score.

Patrick Mahomes completed 69% of his passing attempts for 202 passing yards. To finish the game, Mahomes had 1 passing touchdown. Leading the team’s passing attack was Justin Watson, who finished with 67 yards. With 38.3 passes per game, Kansas City ranks 5th in the league. This season, 59.51% of the team’s offensive plays have come through the pass, placing them 4th in the NFL.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NFL Game

In game 1 of this year’s series between the two teams, the Chiefs came away with a 17-27 win over the Jaguars. In addition to picking up the win, the Chiefs covered the spread as -8.5 point favorites. Jacksonville and Kansas City did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.

As of late, the Chiefs have dominated the head-to-head matchups, winning each of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-4, with the average scoring total coming in at 43.4 points.

The Kansas City Chiefs have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 4-1-0. The Jaguars’ offense has averaged 14.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Kansas City, compared to the Chiefs at 28.8.

Across their 5 previous road games, Jacksonville has an ATS mark of 3-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 3-2-0 while averaging 23.4 points per game.

Across their last 5 home contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-3. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 24.8 points per game.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Jaguars 8.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 52.0
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