- The LA. Rams are 5-1 and coming off of a dominant 38-11 victory against the New York Giants.
- At 0-6, the Lions are the lone winless team in the NFL (the Jaguars won last week against Miami).
- Matthew Stafford is looking to continue his MVP caliber season, he has 1838 yards, 14 touchdowns, and four interceptions while completing 69.5% of his 200 pass attempts.
This game should be called the Matthew Stafford bowl as he and his current team, the LA Rams, take on his former team, the Detroit Lions. The Rams have benefited from the trade immensely with Stafford; they are 5-1 and look like a Super Bowl-caliber team.
This game could also be called the Jared Goff bowl as his current team; the Detroit Lions take on the team that traded him away, the LA Rams. The Lions certainly got the worse end of the trade as they are 0-6, and the Lions Head Coach has asked to see more from Goff.
Lions vs Rams Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NFL
- Teams: Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams
- Where: Inglewood, SoFi Stadium
- Date: 4:05 October 24th
- Betting Odds: -15.5 LAR (-110), LAR -1100 and 50.5 (at PointsBet | at Caesars | at DraftKings | at Fanduel | at BetRivers)
Lions Preview: Down in the Dumps Detroit
One of the offseason’s most significant moves was when the Rams decided to trade away their first-round pick Jared Goff to Detroit in return for Matthew Stafford. The Lions have committed to a total rebuild and are building around Jared Goff.
As of late, both the Lions and Goff have been struggling. The Lions are 0-6, losing several games heartbreakingly. Goff has thrown for 1500 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions.
In the Lions’ 11-34 loss to the Bengals, Head Coach Campbell said, “I feel like he has to step up more than he has” (ESPN). Goff will need to rise to the occasion and take quite a few steps up to beat the Rams.
Of course, Goff will need no extra motivation to beat his former team.
An article came out on ESPN detailing the decline of the relationship between Rams Head Coach Sean McVay and Goff. The relationship declined primarily because of how harsh McVay was of Goffs’ inability to improve.
Nothing would be sweeter for Goff than beating his former coach and his former team.
Rams Preview: Loving Life in Los Angeles
On the flip side of the trade, Matthew Stafford has seemed to adjust to life in LA just fine. Stafford boasts an NFL-best QBR of 75.0. His team is 5-1 and the only team to beat Tom Brady’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
According to Football References AV (Average Value), Stafford was the second most valuable Lion in the franchise’s history, trailing behind only Barry Sanders.
So it makes sense that the Rams gave up their QB Jared Goff and a 2021 third-round pick and 2022, 2023 first-round picks to get Stafford. And even at that price, the trade has paid dividends for LA.
The Rams are not only an offensive powerhouse, but they have a defense to play complementary football.
They rank third in sacks, fourth in interceptions, and fifth in turnovers.
While they do not perform well against the pass, they rank well against the run (12th in rushing yards allowed), and they perform well in the red zone, allowing a touchdown in the red zone only 52.4% of the time.
For Stafford, the game is a lot less personal than for Goff. Stafford still plans on talking to people he knew during his 12 years with the Lions. But for Stafford, “It will just be another football game once the ball is snapped.”
Odds & Free Betting Analysis for This NFL Game
I think it is safe to say that the Rams will indeed win against the Lions for the money line. I think LA is too good to lose to a Lions team without any strengths and has yet to win a single game.
However, I think the spread could be a different story. The Lions are a gritty team that does not quit easily; you only need to look at their game against the 49ers to see that. Detroit is 3-3 against the spread this season, simply because they do not quit.
The Rams are 4-2 against the spread, with their only losses coming against the Cardinals and the Colts (the Colts were a +4 underdog and lost by 3). So while I feel much less confident in the prediction because the spread is set to -15, I am taking the Rams to cover.
The Rams are much like an unstoppable force in the total; they are 5-1 in their games, hitting the over. The Lions are more like an unmovable object as they are 2-4 in their games hitting the over.
Because the total is 50.5, and I expect this one to be a blowout, I will say that the game should hit the over. The Rams defense is good but not perfect, and the Lions should be able to pass well.
On the flip side, the Lions’ defense is essentially swiss cheese, and the Rams should have little to no trouble scoring. But the Lions will not go away quietly.
Lions vs Rams Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Pick: Rams 35 Lions 17. (at PointsBet | at Caesars | at DraftKings | at Fanduel | at PointsBet)
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