Check out our free Patriots vs Packers pick and preview for NFL week 4 game in Green Bay. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NFL matchup.

Patriots vs Packers Pick & Preview- NFL Week 4

On Sunday, October 2nd at 4:25 PM ET, the New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI. CBS is carrying television coverage the for game. Green Bay comes into this AFC East contest, as the -10.5 home favorite.

Patriots vs Packers Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers
  • Where: Green Bay at Lambeau Field
  • Date: Sunday, October 2nd
  • Betting Odds GB -10.5, NE +389 | GB +-523 O/U 40.0

Will Mac Jones And The Patriots Keep Things Interesting vs Green Bay?

In week 3, the New England Patriots dropped their AFC matchup against the Ravens by a score of 37-26. In terms of betting, New England not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 2.5 point underdogs. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 45 points, which the teams surpassed.

The Patriots 26 points was right in line with last year’s season average of 27.18 points per game.

New England will look for another big performance in the run game, as they finished last week’s game with 145 yards. In addition to running for 73 yards, Rhamondre Stevenson ran for 1 score.

Quarterback Mac Jones had an excellent game through the air, finishing with 321 total passing yards, leading to a passer rating of 62.11. Although Jones did not throw for a score, he did find the endzone with 1 time with his legs. Although DeVante Parker did not come up with a touchdown grab, he was still productive with 156 receiving yards. With 32.333333333333336 passes per game, New England ranks 24th in the league. Thus far, 68.28% of their yards through the air, which is 17 in the NFL.

While the team’s defense has generated sacks at a high rate, its overall QB hit percentage, 14.3rd%, is comparable to the NFL average.

Will The Packers Take Care Of Business As Heavy Home Favorite?

Last week, the Packers knocked off the Buccaneers by a score of 14-12, giving them an important win over a NFC opponent. Going into last week’s matchup, Green Bay was 1.5 point underdogs on the spread. The team’s combined scoring of 26 points fell below the posted betting line of 42.

Compared to last year, where the Packers averaged 26.47 points per game, the team’s 14 was a disappointing performance.

On the ground, Green Bay ended with just 67 rushing yards on 25 attempts. The team’s leading rusher was Aaron Jones, who finished with just 36 yards and a per attempt average of 12.

Aaron Rodgers was able to rack up 255 passing yards on an overall passer rating of 103.87. Rodgers completed 2 passes for touchdowns. Leading the way at receiver was Romeo Doubs, as he accumulated 73 yards and hauled in a touchdown. Green Bay has thrown the ball an average of 33.0 times per game, placing them in 22nd. Currently, 64.29% of their yards come through the air, ranking them 22nd in the NFL.

Through 3 games the team’s defense has generated sacks and hits on the quarterback at a rate similar to the league average. They enter this week’s matchup with a total of 7 sacks.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NFL Game

New England and Green Bay did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.

Looking back at the recent matchups between New England and Green Bay, the Packers have taken 3 of the last 5 contests. The two teams have combined to average 45.2 points per game in their last 5 meetings.

The Green Bay Packers have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-2-0. On average, the Patriots have averaged 25.6 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Green Bay at 19.6.

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Patriots vs Packers Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Patriots 10.5