In this week 18 NFL preview between the Patriots and Bills, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

Patriots vs Bills Pick & Preview- NFL Week 18

On Sunday, January 8th at 1:00 PM ET, the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. CBS is carrying television coverage the for the game. The Bills head into the game as the -4.5 point favorites over their AFC East rival.

Patriots vs Bills Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
  • Where: Orchard Park at Highmark Stadium
  • Date: Sunday, January 8th
  • Betting Odds BUF -4.5, NE +275 | BUF -350 O/U 42.5

Can Mac Jones Help Lead The Patriots To A Road Upset At Buffalo?

Looking back to last week, the Patriots defeated the Miami Dolphins by a score of 23-21. Despite the straight-up win, the Patriots did not cover the spread. They went into the matchup as -3.0 point favorites. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 44 points, which surpassed the betting line of 41.

New England struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 77 yards on 21 attempts. The team’s leading rusher was Rhamondre Stevenson, who finished with just 42 yards and a per-attempt average of 5.2.

Last week, Mac Jones completed 60.6% of his passing attempts for 203 passing yards. For the game, Jones was able to throw for 2 touchdowns. Leading the way at receiver was Tyquan Thornton, as he accumulated 60 yards and hauled in a touchdown. As a team, New England ranks 21st in the number of pass yards per game, averaging 206.31 per game. Going into the game, the Patriots have thrown a total of 11.0 interceptions, coming on a passing completion percentage of 66.91% (6th).

Can Josh Allen And The Bills Take Care Of Business At Home?

In their last game vs the Chicago Bears, the Bills won by a score of 35-13. The 22-point win gave the team a non-conference victory. Buffalo also picked up an ATS win, with a point spread of -8.5. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 48 points, surpassing the betting line of 40.

Offensively, Buffalo found success in the run game, putting up 254 on 31 attempts. Devin Singletary had a big individual game, finding the endzone in addition to his 106 rush yards.

On his way to compiling 172 passing yards, Josh Allen finished with a passer rating of 71.31. In addition to throwing for 2 touchdowns, Allen found the endzone with his legs. Gabe Davis led the way for Buffalo in the passing attack, finding the endzone once to go along with his 45 yards. With 36.2 passes per game, Buffalo ranks 8th in the league. This season, 55.46% of the team’s offensive plays have come through the pass, placing them 14th in the NFL.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NFL Game

In game 1 of this year’s series between the two teams, the Bills came away with a 10-24 win over the Patriots. In addition to picking up the win, the Bills covered the spread as -4.5 point favorites. Last year’s meetings between the teams resulted in a split, with the Bills winning by a score of 33-21 and the Patriots by a margin of 14-10.

Over the last 5 matchups between New England and Buffalo, the Bills have won 4 of the last 5 games. The two teams have combined to average 44.6 points per game in their last 5 meetings.

The Buffalo Bills have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 4-1-0. The Patriots’ offense has averaged 14.2 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Buffalo, compared to the Bills at 30.4.

Across their 5 previous road games, New England has an ATS mark of 3-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 3-2-0 while averaging 27.4 points per game.

Buffalo has played well in their previous 5 home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 28.0 points per game while allowing 22.8. The team also performed well vs the spread at 0-4-1.

Patriots vs Bills Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Bills -4.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Under 42.5