Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers looked terrible in week 1 against the New Orleans Saints, but ever since that matchup they have completely flipped the script and have won three straight games. Chicago is coming into the contest with a 3-1 record as well, but they suffered their first defeat of the season last Sunday with an ugly loss at home against the Colts.

The Buccaneers are a 4-point road favorite with the moneyline placing Tampa Bay at -200 and Chicago at +170. The over/under for the contest is 44 points.

New Jersey, Same GOAT

Tom Brady was criticized after New Orleans defended their home turf in week 1 and made Brady and the Buccaneers look nothing like people expected. Obviously, Brady was at the center of the criticism and his own coach, Bruce Arians, said Brady didn’t play with enough grit.

I don’t know why the media hasn’t learned this yet, but when you criticize Tom Brady it often ends with the critics looking like they know nothing about football.

Since Week 1, Tom Brady has been on an absolute tear dominating every team in his path. In the past two wins, Brady has completed over 65% of his passes and has been able to find the endzone 8 times while only turning the ball over once.

Brady’s momentum mixed with a strong Tampa Bay rushing attack like we saw last Sunday is going to give opposing defensive coordinators headaches for weeks to come.

Quarterback Questions

Nick Foles came off the bench in Week 3 and replaced a struggling Mitch Trubisky. He was able to lead his team to a come from behind win over the Atlanta Falcons. Nick Foles got the start this past Sunday against the Colts and the Foles magic that we have seen in the past was completely nonexistent.

The story of the game was the Indianapolis defense who held the Bears to 269 yards with only 28 of them coming on the ground. Nick Foles is solid and has proven that he is a competitor, but he needs a run game to take some of the pressure off of his shoulders.

Chicago looked solid on defense and by no means did Indianapolis pick them apart. Chicago was defeated because they lost the turnover margin and their stagnant offense didn’t compliment their solid defensive effort. For the Bears to be successful moving forward without an ace quarterback, they will need to get their run game going.

The Picks

It’s no surprise that the Buccaneers are a 4-point road favorite because they have a ton of momentum and they are the better football team on paper. Brady has been fantastic in his past couple outings, but I think the team that has the most success on Thursday is the one that is able to establish the ground game early.

Brady along with running back, Ronald Jones II, had their best games of the season this past Sunday. The run game allowed Brady to be comfortable in the pocket and pick apart the Chargers defense.

Chicago was unable to run the ball this past weekend and that allowed Indianapolis to put all the pressure on Foles.

Both quarterbacks are winners, but they still need help from their teammates. Expect the Buccaneers to be keying on wideout Allen Robinson on Thursday who was the lone offensive star in Chicago’s loss last week.

I think the Buccaneers are rolling and all the personnel questions in Chicago will hurt the Bears this week. A confident Tom Brady surrounded by weapons is dangerous so expect them to continue their winning ways and cover the spread.

I’m taking Tampa Bay at -200 and over 44 points.