The League of Legends European Championship (LEC) 2021 Summer Playoffs kick off on Friday, August 13, with the opening match between Rogue and Misfits Gaming.
Rogue enter the playoffs as the regular-season champions and have chosen Misfits as their first-round opponents as they start their quest for their first LEC title.
Rogue enter the LEC 2021 Summer playoffs as the regular-season champions. The spring finalists have put together a very impressive season, ending the first stage of the summer split with a 13-5 record and a 72% win rate.
However, Rogue weren’t that much better than the remaining four top-seeded teams in G2 Esports, MAD Lions, and Misfits Gaming, who ended the season with a 12-6 record next to their names. Still, those numbers don’t take into account the teams’ performances.
Even though Rogue managed only one win more than the remaining four LEC title contenders, they have managed some of the best performance metrics in the league. That includes +2674 Gold Difference at 15 (GD@15), 1.47 Kill/Death Ratio (KD), and a phenomenal 75.3 Early-Game Rating (EGR).
Much of their success is due to strong showings from their jungler Kacper “Inspired” Słoma, who is a strong contender for the LEC MVP award. Still, he is not the only star player on the team.
Rogue boast some of the top players in all five roles and seemingly have everything a championship team needs. Now they need to put their talent to use and show that they’re more than just a regular-season team.
Misfits Gaming Preview
Misfits Gaming have impressed many with their performances over the season. As a team that finished seventh in the spring split (8-10), Misfits found a new gear in the summer season and nearly claimed the top seed for the playoffs.
The whole team leveled up for the final split of the year and have proven themselves as a very resilient side with strong pieces and excellent macro play. In fact, Misfits ended the season as the most efficient late-game team, averaging the league’s highest 18.5 Mid-Late Game Rating (MLR).
Even though Misfits improved significantly, they haven’t achieved much against the LEC top dogs. They ended the season with a 1-5 head-to-head record against the remaining three top-seeded teams and haven’t beaten Rogue once in 2021 (0-4).
Misfits Gaming have proven to be very consistent against bottom-five teams (7-1) but were not nearly as impressive when faced with tough opposition. And that’s a problem for the Bunnies as they launch an attack for their first LEC title.
Rogue vs Misfits Gaming Pick
Rogue enter this match priced as heavy favorites (-500), which isn’t really surprising. They are touted as the best team in the league, and they have numbers to back those claims up.
On the other hand, Misfits Gaming have had some very impressive moments over the summer season and have built a solid foundation for the next season. But I just don’t believe they can defeat G2, Rogue, or MAD Lions with their current form.
One thing that works in Misfits Gaming’ favor here is that Rogue historically underperform in the playoffs. Will that help Misfits claim an upset win?
Not likely, since Rogue are individually a much better team. That said, Misfits seem a bit undervalued at +333 and should be considered as a solid bet with a +1.5 map handicap.
Bet on Misfits to make it interesting!
Prediction: Misfits Gaming +1.5 maps – +150
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